
The Yield Curve and Growth Forecasts
Warnock, Frank
The Yield Curve and Growth Forecasts
GEM-0106 | Published March 7, 2011 | 8 pages. Technical Note
Collection: Darden School of Business
Product Details
Fully updated through February 2024, in this case, the protagonist was sifting through the evidence on the predictive content of the yield curve. Did the current steepness of the yield curve mean that a double-dip recession was highly unlikely? Or was the fact that the yield curve had flattened over the past few years suggest a coming slowdown in economic growth? From time to time, the market focused on the slope of the yield curve. What can it tell us?
To use the tools of international macroeconomics to understand the information content or predictive power of the yield curve.
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